Saturday, November 21, 2009

Short and Sweet

Greetings College Football Fans,

There is a direct correlation between work time and blog time. When business is slow, I'm blogging and when business is booming I'm not blogging as much. As you can tell the blog posts have slowed down which is a great sign for the household economy. Maybe my micro-expirence is a reflection of the national macoeconomic situation. Hopefully getting better...

With that said, I'm rushing to give you some quick picks, Not much text this week but here are some predictions.

Top 25 games:

Florida International 10 @ Florida 51

Chattanooga 9 @ Alabama 50

Kansas 14 @ Texas 50

TCU 28 @ Wyoming 10

LSU 13 @ Mississippi 12

Ohio State 35 @ Michigan 10

Oregon 21 @ Arizona 10

Minnesota 3 @ Iowa 30

Penn State 31 @ Michigan State 17

North Carolina State 30 @ Virginia Tech 63

Wisconsin 27 @ Northwestern 17

California 23 @ Stanford 19 (Upset Allert)

Oregon State 38 @ Washington State 23

Duke 31 @ Miami 35

San Diego State 13 @ Utah 36

Air Force 29 @ BYU 21 (Upset Allert)

Virginia 15 @ Clemson 26

Memphis 13 @ Houston 44

Note: Teams that beat USC are 4-11 the following week. Cal Beats Stanford.

Enjoy the games.

Robby D.

Saturday, November 14, 2009

No Blog this Week

Greetings college football fans. It was a crazy work week so I was not able to post. However, I will be back for week 12. Stay tuned for launch of "Math & Sports", which will go live after college football season.

Talk with you next week.

Robby D

Friday, November 6, 2009

For those at least 30 years old.

Week 10 Football Predictions:

Greetings College Football Fans,

College football season unfortunately goes to fast. We only have am month left before bowl season. The games are getting more and more important as teams go into the final stretch.

Let’s dive right in…..

The Big Games this week:

LSU @ Alabama
Will LSU pull off a huge road upset and position themselves for the National Championship race or will Alabama beat LSU and stay on course to play Florida in the SEC Championship game? Last week against Tulane, LSU dominated the Green Wave 42-0 both running and passing the football (clearly no power house). Alabama has been vulnerable lately and less convincing in their wins, while LSU seems to be getting stronger with convincing a win against a significant opponent a few weeks ago in Auburn winning 31-10. Alabama will need to start playing like a team deserving of national championship aspirations if they want to go 13-0. Bama will have a chance this Saturday to show what it can do in their high profile rivalry game. Florida showed what it could do last week in their rivalry game against Georgia. If Alabama can’t beat LSU this weekend, it will launch the Tigers back into the national title hunt.

LSU’s defensive front is at a huge disadvantage to Alabama’s offensive line. This is not the defensive line that won it all three years ago. The Tigers are last in the SEC in sacks and very average against the run. Alabama’s defense is one of the best in the country against the run. LSU will not be able to run effectively against the Tide. The best way for LSU to make big plays this week will be through “trickeration”.

This game will be a big time defensive battle. Offensively, LSU will have the passing advantage while Alabama and running back Mark Ingram will own the running game. Alabama wins 24-14.


Ohio State @ Penn State
Iowa is faced with an Ohio State sandwich to end their season. One piece of bread is Northwestern while the other is Minnesota. The tasty part in the middle will determine the Big Ten championship next week if Ohio State beats Penn State this weekend. If Penn State beats Ohio State then Iowa will have a clear path to the Rose Bowl baring any food poising from the elements of the sandwich. Regardless of sandwich analogies and Iowa, this game will be huge for BCS aspirations in Happy Valley and Columbus. If Penn State wins this weekend and run the table in their final games finishing 11-1, they will have a BCS invitation for sure.

Iowa has been the only tough team Penn State has played this year and the Nittany Lions lost at home. Ohio State’s best win this year has been against Wisconsin and their second best against Navy. The last two weeks Ohio State has outscored its opponents 83-7 (Minnesota and New Mexico State), bouncing back from their loss against Purdue. Once again (without the bad sandwich analogy), if Ohio State can beat Penn State this weekend, it sets up a huge game in the battle of the eyes (Buckeyes & Hawkeyes).

This will be a close game. Unfortunately for Ohio State their kicker was hurt in the huge battle last week against New Mexico State, which could mean wide left or right for the Buckeyes. This also means that Ohio State will have to score touchdowns in the red zone versus field goals. Every time Terrell Prior tries to improvise, the now healthy Penn State defense (Sean Lee & Navorro Brown) will stop him in his tracks.

Terrell Prior arguably had his best game this year against USC the second week of the season. We have all seen how inconsistent Prior has been all season and while I claim that Penn State’s defense will stop him in his tracks it still won’t be easy. Prior will have to play a better game than he did against USC for Ohio State to have a chance to beat Penn State. On the Penn State side Darryl Clark will have to be a closer for the Nittany Lions. Last year against Ohio State, Clark was knocked out of the game and didn’t contribute to closing the deal and against Iowa he threw an interception that led to Iowa’s game winning field goal. Mariano Rivera is not a good comparison to Darryl Clark. However, Clark will not need to be a closer against the Buckeyes. Penn State wins 19-9.


Oregon @ Stanford
Last week Oregon had the most convincing win against USC in the Pete Carroll ear, almost assuring the Ducks path to the Rose Bowl. Oregon might be the best team in the country as they ended the Trojans seven year PAC-10 reign.

Oregon is running on all cylinders. The Ducks have one of the most potent running games in the country behind freshman running back LaMichael James and quarterback Jeremiah Masoli. Defensively, Oregon leads the PAC-10 in scoring defense and passing efficiency defense (statistics that strongly correlate to wins), with a no household names. One of those unknowns is redshirt freshman safety John Boyett who has emerged as a leader on this talented defense. Boyett got his shot when upper classman free safety T.J. Ward was injured. Boyett is one of the best open field tacklers in the country.

Could Oregon be ripe for an upset after their huge win last week? When Stanford has faced teams that run the ball effectively the Cardinal (singular mascot) has lost. Oregon wins this game 35-16.


Oregon State @ California
If Oregon State can win this weekend they will have locked themselves into their fourth straight bowl appearance. Cal has won their last three games (UCLA, Washington State and Arizona State) and they are playing their best football of the season. Oregon and USC were both able to dominate Cal and Oregon State will represent their third toughest opponent this weekend. This game features two of the best running backs in college football in Javid Best and Jacquizz Rodgers.

Cal’s Javid Best and Shane Vereen (other RB) are fast and have the ability to get to the second level of defenders quickly. The running game has really exploded since quarterback Kevin Riley has gained consistency. Cal has run up 117 points in their last three games. Oregon State’s defense has not been successful generating pressure against opposing quarterbacks resulting in big plays. Cal should be able to race up and down the field if Oregon State can’t get to Kevin Riley.

Cal’s defense has the speed to slow down Jacquizz Rodgers. The Bear defenders will have to stop Rodgers before he gets started. Cal will win a high scoring game in Berkley 36-26.


Oklahoma @ Nebraska
Remember the Big-8? Those were the days when Nebraska and Oklahoma would play every year in a games that would determine the Big-8 champion. If you are less than 35 years old, you know nothing about this great rivalry. Back in the day this was the game of the week every single year with serious national championship implications. This rivalry is straight up old school. Once the Big-8 expanded to the Big-12, the North and South divisions were created and Oklahoma and Nebraska were divided up. The game between these two teams hasn’t been the same since. However, it’s still a game worth watching. The Big-12 North is awful, with no ranked teams. Nebraska has been playing to the level of their Big-12 North peers (awful), and still in the hunt for a chance at the Big-12 championship game probably against Texas. Nebraska has been spanked by Texas Tech and Iowa State in the last three weeks. This would be a huge win for Nebraska before their next game against Kansas.

When the Sooners get rolling on offense they are tough to stop. The days of Nebraska’s black shirt defense are gone (at least for now). Nebraska’s offense has turned the ball over, been inefficient running, and nonexistent passing the football. Against Nebraska, Oklahoma will just need to protect the football, nothing spectacular. Oklahoma has had injuries to their offensive line and will play underclassmen this weekend. Nebraska will get star running back Roy Helu back from injury this weekend. If he doesn’t provide respectable production to the running game, Nebraska doesn’t have a chance. Oklahoma dominates this old school matchup to the tune of 41-17.

All the others……

USC 35 @ Arizona State 10
South Carolina 30 @ Arkansas 17
Connecticut 9 @ Cincinnati 16
Florida State 7 @ Clemson 24
Vanderbilt 7 @ Florida 52
Wake Forest 19 @ Georgia Tech 33
Fresno State 23 @ Idaho 7
Indiana 21 @ Wisconsin 47
Northwestern 27 @ Iowa 42
Oklahoma State 13 @ Iowa State 3
Kansas 24 @ Kansas State 14
Boise State 29 @ Louisiana Tech 19
Virginia 13 @ Miami 37
Purdue 26 @ Michigan 25
Duke 14 @ North Carolina 25
Navy 35 @ Notre Dame 37
Syracuse 18 @ Pittsburgh 30
TCU 52 @ San Diego State 22
Central Florida 10 @ Texas 38
Houston 29 @ Tulsa 18
Washington 26 @ UCLA 29
Louisville 12 @ West Virginia 34
BYU 33 @ Wyoming 23

Until next weekend my friends.